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A stock has a beta of 2.0 and idiosyncratic daily volatility of 2%. It closed at $100 yesterday and the market is up 1% today. What is the probability it closes at or above $103? At or above $110?

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A stock is at $100 and each day a coin flip moves it up $1 on Heads or down $1 on Tails. What is the probability it is exactly $100 after 10 days?

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